Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1115.443866 1262.004078 1424.194732 1617.620238 1842.823447 2097.712100 2409.392409
2025-08-31 893.023047 1087.836466 1323.223566 1631.220892 2027.479292 2525.433692 3206.946411
2025-09-07 780.618430 996.672120 1272.908975 1657.142214 2185.973395 2900.500230 3960.330293
2025-09-14 675.110479 893.381706 1184.840620 1610.073796 2227.562993 3112.353625 4515.165212
2025-09-21 595.471129 811.740322 1111.189019 1566.093771 2257.776483 3300.973752 5055.876224
2025-09-28 529.753858 740.621430 1041.788257 1515.581858 2265.617917 3449.489033 5550.540538
2025-10-05 502.601064 721.015589 1043.056268 1568.413962 2436.048250 3873.518122 6576.834689
2025-10-12 472.550571 693.424498 1028.373447 1592.760208 2561.133681 4238.134620 7566.408643
2025-10-19 445.945007 668.116209 1013.876845 1614.296834 2682.174349 4611.134143 8644.207988
2025-10-26 422.138382 644.722744 999.572322 1633.431049 2799.798831 4993.546722 9818.797570
2025-11-02 405.943455 631.879108 1000.788619 1678.665894 2969.683841 5500.330783 11367.562364
2025-11-09 385.229594 609.682391 983.948583 1689.105123 3073.988858 5891.904929 12748.394053
2025-11-16 364.257889 586.209608 964.239960 1694.871894 3175.787576 6308.170099 14327.465638
2025-11-23 345.290640 564.770251 946.393385 1702.646017 3284.134782 6761.547900 16136.373069
2025-11-30 331.142607 550.442747 939.707035 1730.768018 3438.381960 7345.718902 18463.055727
2025-12-07 307.805069 517.884775 896.623918 1681.123075 3416.124994 7510.056056 19660.235561
2025-12-14 287.107223 488.609792 857.265539 1634.862150 3394.977590 7673.282045 20905.215732
2025-12-21 267.416429 459.836336 816.610814 1581.728382 3350.951135 7771.341855 21981.791622
2025-12-28 262.049356 457.344553 826.474014 1637.301642 3571.435326 8603.433505 25740.860068
2026-01-04 253.638022 448.434309 822.866905 1662.916772 3722.909400 9280.819305 29233.301314
2026-01-11 245.474581 439.399798 818.212003 1685.578885 3870.411514 9979.184924 33090.731119
2026-01-18 237.589419 430.346233 812.744110 1705.715377 4014.538738 10700.221073 37353.826631
2026-01-25 232.741514 426.959092 818.732583 1753.328332 4239.722372 11723.715303 43365.526305